New York Mets @ Philadelphia Phillies (M.Pelfrey vs. R.Halladay)
My call on this is based on a few past observations. Pelfrey has the best record/ERA combo among starting pitchers. I watched his last start @ Turner field where he countered Atlanta ace Hanson, and faced a slumping Braves lineup. The game was called after 5 innings due to rain- the Mets held a 1-0 lead- the deceit is that Atlanta was hitting the Mets starter rather well, but couldn't bring runners around. As a matter of fact, Pelfrey's WHIP (walks/hits per inning-1.20) isn't nearly as spectacular as his record, respectable but not dominant. A former 1st rounder in 05', maybe this is his career year that will define the rest of his time in the majors- but I've seen him pitch, and can't say Im thoroughly impressed. The Mets have won 8 in a row and that lineup is quietly stacked with good hitters and base runners-so we can attribute it to that, as well as their pitching. Scoring will probably be scarce for the Mets as they face Roy Halladay-the one positive is that their leadoff hitter SS Jose Reyes is 4/4 lifetime off Halladay with a triple...although his last AB's were more than 3 years ago. For the rest of the Mets hitters it looks pretty bleak from there, and Halladay is looking to lock down, coming off a loss in his last start- a rare find. Pelfrey historically has trouble pitching in the Phillies' park Citizens Bank and after such a prominent start to the season I think he gets roughed up a bit today by the reigning NL champs.
Philadelphia Phillies (-1) (-160)
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